Dean Kilbryde from PicksfromthePaddock.co.uk joins the Lancashire Evening Post to preview his three best bets of the day.
Eight go to post in this class five handicap, where all eight have won over today’s race distance at some point in their respective careers. Birdie Queen, Olney Lass and Ginzan are all course and distance winners and all have a chance in this on their best form. Birdie Queen has only won once in fifteen attempts but that win came here in July when she beat Johnny Splash by three lengths, who then went on to win next time out. Olney Lass hasn’t won in twelve months but is back down to a winning mark. Ginzan has performed consistently throughout July and August, with one win and three seconds in her last five races, and has a 50% win rate here at Brighton. However, preference is for Miss Brazil. She has finished in the first two places in 50% of her ten races on turf, and although has only won once, she has been running consistently and was beaten on her most recent outing by a horse who has since gone on to win again.
Miss Brazil (WIN)
Hesbaan is forecast as early favourite in this class five handicap, and looks to continue his excellent run of form after winning his last race and finishing second three times in a row before that. This will be his first attempt at ten furlongs but has taken each step up in his stride so far and should go close if he handles the longer trip. Diletta Tommasa is another horse in great form recently, with two wins from her last three races. This form looks especially strong as her last run was a win over todays’ race distance and the second and third finishers that day have since gone on to win themselves. Others to consider include Whitby Jet and Law Keeper. Whitby Jet is a previous course winner and has also been successful over ten furlongs. Although he was only beaten by a neck on his latest run, he hasn’t won in nine attempts since bagging a double at the start of the year. Law Keeper has only raced three times and has posted a win and a second so definitely has some ability and the booking of Richard Hughes is normally considered a positive, although is another that attempts ten furlongs for the first time.
Diletta Tommasa (E/W)
Only five runners are scheduled to go to post but nevertheless this looks like a competitive handicap and a case could be made for all five. Gleann Na Ndochais won on his last outing, over twenty one furlongs, beating Forget and Forgive who runs earlier on the Perth card. He is also proven over todays’ trip having won at Kelso in May. He has won on Good to Firm and Good to Soft ground so should be comfortable on todays’ forecast ground conditions. Dotties Dilema hasn’t won since October 2012 but has been performing consistently without getting his nose in front and could benefit from the longer trip today. Ultra Light has only won once in twenty four attempts but that was over todays’ race distance. She was beaten twenty lengths by the aforementioned Gleann Na Ndochais on her penultimate run but has posted a decent third on her latest outing over a longer distance and should be closer today. Attycran has attempted twenty four furlongs on three occasions without success, but is another who arrives in decent form and cannot be discounted.
Gleann Na Ndochais (WIN)
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