Rory Paddock from PucksfromthePaddock.co.uk teams up with the Lancashire Evening Post to provide his best three bets of the day.
AP McCoy is the man of the moment already and the jumps season hasn’t even properly begun. With that in mind let’s hope he can’t start us off with a winner in the first of our three race selections today. He takes the mount on board John Butler’s five year old Deadly Sting. The champion jockey has only ridden the horse once before and it was a winning one. The horse has been running well this season and despite its tendency to run slightly lazily at times having AP back on board should help shed loads.
Of its rivals there seems to be a bit of talk surrounding Exitas but unlike previously when it was given a soft lead and nearly held out to win jockeys will be mindful of those tactics and won’t be allowing the Phil Middleton runner to get too far in front. With a strong pace expected it may just play in to my selections hands and make it yet another victory to add to McCoy’s tally.
Deadly Sting (WIN)
With today seeing the start of Doncaster’s St. Leger Festival I think it only fair that I try and tackle their marquee race of the day, the Scarbrough Stakes.
Eleven head to post with many in with great chances. Old stalwart Kingsgate Native rarely runs a bad race but with just one win since 2010 you have to surmise that his best days are behind him.
On the other hand a horse in cracking form this year is the Charlie Hills trained B Fifty Two. Two wins (including a Group three) and two placed efforts in just six races this year but I fear the competition and today’s conditions may not be to suit.
Of the remainder both three-year-olds Meccas Angel and Online Alexander seem to be the most likely dangers to my selection, they’ll both need to step up on what they’ve done previously but at the age of three both have bags of potential.
All that said however I can’t look past current favourite and course and distance winner Reckless Abandon. He was a fine two-year-old, picking up four Group races as a youngster. His three year old career was still at a decent level but blighted with injury returned to the track after just short of eleven months off to finish a good third at Newmarket this August. The horse should improve leaps and bounds for the return to action and without being unkind has beaten far better opposition than this previously. The horse acts on the soft ground so shouldn’t be perturbed by today’s conditions and is likely to take all the beating.
Reckless Abandon (WIN)
From East to West as we head over to Carlisle for their fifth race of the day.
Current favourite is Karl Burke’s, consummate bridesmaid, Bold Prediction. The horse seems to always do well but with four seconds in its last five starts always finds one too good and that lack of willingness to fight and win is a huge concern.
Of the rest it’s worth noting that there are two course and distance winners entered, Silver Rime and King Torus.
Silver Rime is still going strong at the ripe old age of nine and will be aided with the three pounds, apprentice jockey, Connor Beasley takes off. That help however doesn’t ignore the fact that the horse has been far from a model of consistency and I wouldn’t be overly confident in backing the horse.
The other course and distance winner, King Torus, is worth backing. The Ruth Carr trained six year old has won here before, on similar ground and from (thanks to Jack Garrity’s claim) a lower mark than today. Both trainer and jockey are in decent form at the moment and at a current price of 5/1 seems somewhat generous.
King Torus (WIN)
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